2019 Sony Open odds: Surprising picks by advanced computer model that nailed four golf majors

Wai’alae County Club in Honolulu is the host for the 2019 Sony Open, which tees off Thursday at Noon ET and marks the first PGA event in 2019 that is open to the entire Tour field. Although rain is possible on Friday, Thursday’s Sony Open forecast calls for temperatures in the 70s and light winds. The field is an impressive mix of proven names likes Justin Thomas and Jordan Spieth competing against up-and-comers like Abraham Ancer and Patton Kizzire. The latest 2019 Sony Open odds have Thomas as the Vegas favorite at 13-2, with Bryson DeChambeau (10-1), Gary Woodland (14-1), Spieth (14-1), and Marc Leishman (16-1) all listed at shorter than 20-1. Before making any 2019 Sony Open picks of your own or entering a PGA DFS tournament on sites like DraftKings and FanDuel, be sure to check out the PGA predictions from the team at SportsLine.

SportsLine’s prediction model, which was built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has nailed four of the last eight majors entering the weekend and called Tiger Woods’ deep run in the PGA Championship despite being a 25-1 long shot. The model has also been spot-on early in the 2018-19 PGA season. It was all over Jon Rahm (12-1) at the 2018 Hero World Challenge, projecting him as a top contender from the start. It also correctly predicted Brooks Koepka’s (9-1) victory at the 2018 CJ Cup earlier this season. Anyone who has followed the model is up big. 

Now that the 2019 Sony Open field is locked, SportsLine simulated the event 10,000 times and the results were surprising. One huge shocker the model is calling for at the Sony Open 2019: Jordan Spieth, a three-time major champion and one of the Vegas favorites, stumbles big-time and finishes outside the top five. 

Thus far in the 2018-19 PGA season, Spieth finished 55th in the Shiners Hospitals for Children Open and then missed the cut in the Mayakoba Golf Classic. Spieth failed to win a tournament last season and has finished inside the top 10 just once in his last 15 starts on the PGA Tour. There are far better values to be had in this loaded 2019 Sony Open in Hawaii field. 

Another surprise: Hideki Matsuyama, a 28-1 long shot, makes a strong run at the top of the Sony Open leaderboard. He’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday.

A fourth-round 75 sunk Matsuyama’s chances at the Hero World Challenge, his last event, but he still finished inside the top 20 and shot a 68 in the second round. If he can put multiple rounds like that together in Hawaii, he’ll have a strong chance to be in contention. 

Matsuyama’s average driving distance (302 yards) should be extremely helpful on this par-70 course, and if he’s able to build on a 70 percent greens-in-regulation percentage from last season, expect him to be in contention this weekend. In fact, the model says he’ll finish comfortably inside the top 10.

Also, the model says four additional golfers with odds of 25-1 or longer make a strong run at the Sony Open in Hawaii 2019 title. Anyone who bets on these underdogs could hit it big.

So who wins the 2019 Sony Open? And which long shots stun the golfing world? Check out the odds below and visit SportsLine now to see the full 2019 Sony Open projected leaderboard from the model that nailed the winners of four golf majors. 

Justin Thomas 13-2
Bryson DeChambeau 10-1
Gary Woodland 14-1
Jordan Spieth 14-1
Marc Leishman 16-1
Patrick Reed 25-1
Cameron Champ 28-1
Cameron Smith 28-1
Hideki Matsuyama 28-1
Charles Howell III 33-1
Emiliano Grillo 33-1
Kevin Kisner 33-1
Kyle Stanley 33-1
Paul Casey 33-1
Abraham Ancer 40-1
Brandt Snedeker 40-1
Bubba Watson 40-1
Matt Kuchar 40-1
Zach Johnson 40-1

Source: Read Full Article